Circular 281. Outlook for Air Transport to the Year 2010

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Circular 281

Outlook for Air Transport to the Year 2010

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Cir 281 AT11 18 Outlook for Air Transport to the Year 2010 Appraved by the Secretary General and published under his authority June 2001 International Civil Avsaton clrganlzation

Published in separate English, Arabic, French, Russian and Spanish editions by the International Civil Aviation Organization. All correspondence, except orders and subscriptions, should be addressed to the Secretary General. Orders should be sent to one of the following addresses, together with the appropriate remittance by bank draft, cheque or money order in U.S. dollars or the currency of the country in which the order is placed. Credit card orders American Express, MasterCard and Visa are accepted at ICAO Headquarters. International Civil Aviation Organization. Attention Document Sales Unit 999 University Street, Montreal, Quebec, Canada H3C 5H7 Telephone 1 514 954-8022 Telex 05-24513 Facsimile 1 514 954-6769 Sitatex YULADYA E-mail sales-uniticao.int Egypt. ICAO Regional Director, Middle East Office, Egyptian Civil Aviation Complex, Cairo Airport Road, Heliopolis, Cairo 11776 Telephone 20 2 267-4840 Facsimile 20 2 267-4843 Sitatex CAICAYA France. Directeur rtgional de I'OACI, Bureau Europe et Atlantique Nord, 3 bis, villa mile-ererat, 92522 Neuilly-sur-Seine Cedex Ttltphone 33 1 46 41 85 85 Ttltcopieur 33 1 46 41 85 00 Sitatex PAREUYA India. Oxford Book and Stationery Co., Scindia House, New Delhi 110001 or 17 Park Street, Calcutta 700016 Telephone 91 11 331-5896 Facsimile 91 11 332-2639 Japan. Japan Civil Aviation Promotion Foundation, 15-12, 1-chome, Toranomon, Minato-Ku, Tokyo Telephone 81 3 3503-2686 Facsimile 81 3 3503-2689 Kenya. ICAO Regional Director, Eastern and Southern African Office, United Nations Accommodation, P.O. Box 46294, Nairobi Telephone 254 2 622-395 Facsimile 254 2 226-706 Sitatex NBOCAYA Mexico. Director Regional de la OACI, Oficina Norteamtrica, Centroamtrica y Caribe, Masaryk No. 29-3er. piso, Col. Chapultepec Morales, Mtxico, D.F., 11570 Teltfono 52 5 250-321 1 Facsimile 52 5 203-2757 Sitatex MEXCAYA Peru. Director Regional de la OACI, Oficina Sudamtrica, Apartado 4127, Lima 100 Teltfono 51 1 302260 Facsimile 51 1 640393 Sitatex LIMCAYA Russian Federation. Aviaizdat, 48, 1. Franko Street, Moscow 121351 Telephone 7 095 417-0405 Facsimile 7 095 417-0254 Senegal. Directeur rtgional de I'OACI, Bureau Afrique occidentale et centrale, Boite postale 2356, Dakar TtlCphone 221 8-23-54-52 Ttltcopieur 221 8-23-69-26 Sitatex DKRCAYA Slovakia. Air Traffic Services of the Slovak Republic, Letovt previidzkovt sluzby Slovenskej Republiky, State Enterprise, Letisko M.R. Stefiinika, 823 07 Bratislava 21, Slovak Republic Telephone 421 7 4857 11 11 Facsimile 421 7 4857 2105 South Africa. Avex Air Training Pty Ltd., Private Bag X102, Halfway House, 1685, Johannesburg, Republic of South Africa Telephone 27 1 1 315-000314 Facsimile 27 1 1 805-3649 E-mail avexiafrica.com Spain. A.E.NrA. - Aeropuertos Espaiioles y Navegacidn Atrea, Calle Juan Ignacio Luca de Tena, 14, Planta Tercera, Despacho 3. 11, 28027 Madrid Telkfono 34 91 321-3148 Facsimile 34 91 321-3157 Correo electr6nico sscc.ventasoaciaena.es Thailand. ICAO Regional Director, Asia and Pacific Office, P.O. Box 11, Samyaek Ladprao, Bangkok 10901 Telephone 66 2 537-8189 Facsimile 66 2 537-8199 Sitatex BKKCAYA United Kingdom. Westward Documedia, 37 Windsor Street, Cheltenham, Glos., GL52 2DG Telephone 44 1242 235- 15 1 Facsimile 44 1 242 584-1 39 Catalogue of ICAO Publications and Audio-visual Training Aids Issued annually, the Catalogue lists all publications and audio-visual training aids currently available. Monthly supplements announce new publications and audio-visual training aids, amendments, supplements, reprints, etc. Available free from the Document Sales Unit, ICAO

FOREWORD Introduction 1. This circular is the fourth in a series to be issued biennially or triennially the third edition "Outlook for Air Transport to the Year 2005" was published in 1997 as Circular 270, the second edition was published in 1995 as Circular 252 and the first edition was published in 1992 as Circular 237. The present circular contains information on air transport trends and challenges and long-term airline passenger and freight traffic forecasts, in total and by region of registration, for the period through to the year 201 0. In addition, it includes passenger traffic forecasts for international route groups and global forecasts of aircraft movements, again through to the year 20 10. Sources of information 2. In addition to the ICAO Digests of Statistics, use has been made of many of the Organization's economic studies and of the Annual Reports of the Council to the Assembly for the years 1989 to 1999. Sources of information other than ICAO, referred to in the text, include the appropriate and most recently available statistical publications of the United Nations, the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development UNCTAD, the European Civil Aviation Conference ECAC, the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development OECD, the International Air Transport Association IATA, the Association of European Airlines AEA, the United States Department of Transportation DOT, the World Tourism Organization WTO, the International Monetary Fund IMF, the World Bank, and Wharton Econometrics Forecasting Associates WEFA. 3. Unless indicated otherwise, all references in this circular to "cents" mean U.S. cents, and all references to "dollars" mean U.S. dollars references to "billion" mean one thousand million. Status 4. This circular has been approved by the Secretary General and is published under his authority.

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