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Circular 304. Edition 1
Last modified:1/1/2004
Outlook for Air Transport to the Year 2015
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iii Table of Contents Page Chapter 1. Summary............................................................ 1 Chapter 2. Air Transport Trends and Challenges..................................... 5 Economic development and airline traffic patterns.................................... 5 Trends in scheduled passenger, freight and mail traffic................................. 5 International and domestic traffic............................................ 7 Regional distribution of scheduled international traffic............................. 7 Passenger traffic on major intercontinental route groups............................ 7 Trends in non-scheduled passenger traffic.......................................... 8 Aircraft movements........................................................... 9 Fleet composition and productivity............................................... 11 Relationship between productivity, prices and financial performance....................... 13 Safety and quality of service.................................................... 15 Airport and airspace congestion.................................................. 16 Environmental protection...................................................... 16 Financial resources........................................................... 17 Economic regulation.......................................................... 18 Industry structure............................................................ 19 Product distribution...................................................... 20 Alliances and airline cooperation............................................. 20 Airline business models................................................... 20 Privatization, national consolidation and transnational ownership..................... 21 Chapter 3. World Economic Environment........................................... 22 Historical trends............................................................. 22 Outlook................................................................... 22 Chapter 4. Airline Financial Trends................................................ 24 Operating revenues, expenses and results........................................... 24 Global trends........................................................... 24 Yields and unit costs...................................................... 28 Operating revenues and expenses by category and region........................... 28 Outlook................................................................... 30 Chapter 5. Forecasts of Airline Traffic to the Year 2015................................ 33 Forecasting methodology....................................................... 33 Main assumptions and econometric models......................................... 33 Global passenger forecasts...................................................... 34 Regional passenger forecasts.................................................... 36 Passenger forecasts for intercontinental route groups.................................. 36 Global freight forecasts........................................................ 37 Regional freight forecasts...................................................... 38 Summary of air traffic forecasts by other organizations................................. 41
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Annex 16. Vol 3. Edition 1. Environmental Protection. Volume III. Aeroplane CO2 EmissionsCircular 313. Outlook for Air Transport to the Year 2025ВСЕ ДОКУМЕНТЫALL DOCUMENTSICAO CIRCULASЦИРКУЛЯРЫCircular 304
Table Of Contents
COVER PAGE
FOREWORD
Table of Contents
Chapter 1
Chapter 2
Chapter 3
Chapter 4
Chapter 5
Chapter 6
Appendix 1
Appendix 2