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Circular 237
Outlook for Air Transport to the Year 2001
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ICAO CIRCULAR 237-ATM CIRCULAR OUTLOOK FOR AIR TRANSPORT TO THE YEAR 2001 Approved by the Secretary General and published under his aufICl0d-y INTERNATIONAL CIVIL AVIATION ORGANIZATION MONTREAL CANADA
Published in separate English, Arabic, French, Russian and Spanish editiom by the Inteational Civil Aviation Organimtion. All correspondence, except orders und subscritions, should Be addressed lo the Secretary General. Wrs for this publication should be sent ro me of the follwing addresses, together with the appropriate remitme by bank draft, cheque or money order in U.S. dollars Or the currency of the country in which the order is placed. Document Sales Unit Intenai1uI Civil Aviation Organization lOOQ Sherbrdce Street West, Suite 400 Montreal, Quebec Canada H3A 2R2 TeI. Sf 4 285-8219 Telex 05-245 13 Fax 5 14 288-4772 Sitatex YULCAYA Egypt. ICAO Representarive, Middle East OfTim, 9 Shagam El hrr Street, Zamalek 1 121 1, Cairo. France. Reprtkntant de I'OACI. Bureau Europe et Atlantique Nard, 3 bis, villa mile-ergerat, 92522 Neuilly-sur-Seine -ex. . India. Oxford Book mtj Stationery Co., Scindia House, New Delhi or 17 Park Street, CaIcuttil. Jaw. Japan Civil Aviation Promotian Fouon, 15- 12. I-chow, TO-, Minata-k, Tokyo. Kenya. lCAO Repwntative. Eastern and Soulhem African Office, United Nations Accommodation, P.O. Box 46294, Nairobi. Mexico. Representaote de la OACI, Oficina Nmrntrica, Centroamnca y Caribe, Aparcado postal 5-377, C.P. 06500, Mtxico. D.F. Pew. Repmentank de la OACl, Qficina Sudarnkrica, Apanado 4127, Lima 100. Senegal. Repksentant de I'OACI, Bureau Afrique midentate et mntnle, Bob postate 2356, Dakar. Spin. Pilot's, Suminisms Aeronhticos, S.A., CRllim, 5-Oficina Nrim. 2,28043 Maddd. nailand. lCAO Representative, Asia and Pacific Office, P.O. Box 1 1, Samyack Wrao, Bangkok MI. United Kingdom. Civil Aviation Authority, Printing and Publications Services, Greville House, 37 Gratton Road, Itenham. Gtos., GLSO 2BN. The Catalogue of lCAO Publications and Audio Visual Training Aids Issued annually, the Catalogue lists all publications and audio visual training aids currently available. Monthly supplemenfs announce new publications and audio visual training aids, amendments, supplements, reprints, etc. Available free from lfw Document Sales Unit, ICAO
Foreword 1. This circular is tbe fmt in a new seris resulting frrm a rationalization by he Comcil in 1991 of the various mk of developments in civil aviation puWed by the Organization. e circular contains infomation on air transport trends axad challenges and long-term airline passenger ztnd freight uaffc fowStS, in total and by region of regismtion, similar to those contained in the former triennial circular on 7w Economic Sitmtion of Air Trmporl, fw t.be period through to ibe yar 2001. In addition, it inclu- passenget traffic fore for btemabional route groups and global fomsts of aircraft movements, again through to the yw 2M1. me intention is hat similar circulars be uwd on a mid or oriennial basis and he made available to each guk Session of tZte AsmbIy, 2. In mpnge to quests at. the 26th and 27tb Sessions of the Assembly, medium-term forecasts m now aIso produced. The fit set covm, world airline scbedded passenger WE, in total and by mgion of regisfration, and, in general snd global. terms, world airline finances, for the period 1W2- 1994. This fmt et of fecasts is being. presented to the 29th Session of the Assembly in the am of a working paper AB-WP115. FUther secs are to he produced each yw and incllded in a new mud publication enti fled 7Tze rld of Cii1 hion on, 19.. Jo 19.,, cmnmencing with the base year 19. This new pubIicatian will dw contain much of tk Cnfmnacicm on civil aviation devevelopments presently qprhg in Chap 1 of rhe Anod Report d the Council. 3. In additim to tbe JCAO Digests of Statistics, use bas trsen made of mimy of be Orgdzation's economic studies, such as t4e fmr trienial review, the study on the Ecommic implications of Future Noise Restrictions on Subsonic Jet Aircr circular 218J, the study on Invemtenr Requiremtefsfor Aircrag Fleers Qlul for Airpon mrd Route Faciliry Infmstmawre so t Year 2010 Circular 236 and the series of tegiwd studies dealing with thr development of inmmional air freight and air passenger bmsp-t. Use has also been made of he Annual Rep of he Cmmcil m the Assembly for the yem 1981 to 1991. 4. Some3 of information other tban ICAO, referred to in the text, 'include the appropriste and most recently avaikbk satidml publicatim of alle United Matim the Unired Nations Conference on TI- and Devdopmenr NJNCTAD the European Civil Aviation Conference ECAC the Organization fm EOoomic Co-opemion and DeveIopment OECD the Inremational Air Transport Association IATA e Association of E Airlines AEA the United States lkpamehi of Trnspmmi Kt., the World Tourism Orgatizalion NO tk Inked Fd 0 the Wdd Bank and Whartoa EcQwWS FWCasthg Assmiam WEFA.
lii ICAO Circular 237-A TM 5. Unless indicated otherwise, all referenws in this circular to "cents" mean U.S. cents, and all references to "dollars" mean U.S. dollars. Status This circular has been approved by the Smwy General and is published mr his authority.
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Table Of Contents
COVER PAGE
Foreword
Table of Contents
Chapter 1
Chapter 2
Chapter 3
Chapter 4
Chapter 5
Chapter 6
Appendix 1
Appendix 2